Offer

How much should I pay for this specific watch?

Describe the piece in front of you and how fast you need it. You get a position to negotiate: where to open, what is fair for this example, and the number past which the trade stops making sense.

The walk-away number already contains the cost of selling again: roughly half the bid/ask spread, plus an allowance for how long this reference takes to move.

Rolex Submariner Date

Position · Deep market

+45.8% vs retail
Fair entry for this piece
$14,350
$13,700$15,500
Open at
$13,700
Patient, defensible first number
Fair entry
$14,350
Reasonable for this example
Walk away
$15,150
Past here you are buying the seller's problem
Reasoning

Why these numbers

  • Standard — buying within a quarter
    A modest premium over the patient anchor is reasonable; the ceiling is not.
  • Round-trip cost 10.2%
    Selling again inside twelve months costs about 1520 at current spreads, before any service.
  • 11 days to sell, 611 pieces listed
    Deep market — you will find a buyer, but so will everyone else.
  • Trading above retail
    Immediate delivery carries a premium over boutique retail; the premium is the price of not waiting.

Want the full range and the evidence behind it before you negotiate?