Offer

How much should I pay for this specific watch?

Describe the piece in front of you and how fast you need it. You get a position to negotiate: where to open, what is fair for this example, and the number past which the trade stops making sense.

The walk-away number already contains the cost of selling again: roughly half the bid/ask spread, plus an allowance for how long this reference takes to move.

Audemars Piguet Royal Oak 'Jumbo' Extra-Flat

Position · Tradeable

+133.6% vs retail
Fair entry for this piece
$75,100
$69,200$82,700
Open at
$69,200
Patient, defensible first number
Fair entry
$75,100
Reasonable for this example
Walk away
$81,300
Past here you are buying the seller's problem
Reasoning

Why these numbers

  • Standard — buying within a quarter
    A modest premium over the patient anchor is reasonable; the ceiling is not.
  • Round-trip cost 12.9%
    Selling again inside twelve months costs about 10150 at current spreads, before any service.
  • 34 days to sell, 118 pieces listed
    Tradeable with patience — plan for a campaign, not a flip.
  • Trading above retail
    Immediate delivery carries a premium over boutique retail; the premium is the price of not waiting.

Want the full range and the evidence behind it before you negotiate?